Predictions Guide

How to read our picks

Everything you need to know about badges, bet types, and what the numbers mean.

Confidence Tiers

Badge System

Picks are checked top → bottom and assigned the first tier they satisfy

Safe90%+ confidence

Near-certain statistical pick. The model has very high conviction based on available data.

Platinum80%+ confidence · ≥5pp edge

Strong conviction with a meaningful gap between our probability and the implied bookmaker probability.

Gold70%+ confidence · ≥5pp edge

Good confidence with a detectable value edge over the market — solid picks for disciplined bettors.

Market Edge55%+ confidence · ≥8pp edge

Lower absolute probability but a large gap vs bookmaker odds — potential value bets for experienced punters.

Tier assignment: Safe → Platinum → Gold → Market Edge. A pick gets the first badge whose criteria it meets.

Bet Types

Bet Types Explained

Full breakdowns of every prediction type we offer

Full Time Result (1X2)

Predict the final outcome of the match — Home win (1), Draw (X), or Away win (2).

Example

Home: Liverpool to beat Arsenal · Away: Man City to win at Chelsea

Double Chance

Cover two of the three possible outcomes in a single bet, trading potential returns for higher probability.

Example

Home or Draw: Real Madrid to win or draw vs Barcelona

Under / Over 2.5 Goals

Predict whether the total number of goals in the match falls under or over the 2.5 threshold.

Example

Under 2.5 → final score has 0, 1 or 2 goals · Over 2.5 → 3 or more goals

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Predict whether both sides will get on the scoresheet at least once during the 90 minutes.

Example

BTTS Yes: Liverpool 2–1 Arsenal (both scored)

Corners Under / Over 9.5

Predict the total number of corner kicks awarded across both teams during the match.

Example

Under 9.5 → 9 or fewer corners · Over 9.5 → 10 or more corners

Clean Sheet

Predict whether a specified team will keep a clean sheet — i.e. concede zero goals.

Example

Home Clean Sheet: Liverpool prevent Arsenal from scoring

Probability Guide

Understanding the Numbers

What confidence percentages actually mean — and how to use them wisely

What is Confidence %?

Our AI calculates the statistical probability of an outcome occurring based on all analysed data. A 75% confidence means the model believes there is a 75% chance this outcome happens.

Higher % = higher statistical likelihood — but never a guarantee.

Odds vs Probability

Bookmaker odds reflect both probability and their profit margin. If our model gives 70% but the odds imply only 50%, that gap is value. Our Edge badges highlight exactly these opportunities.

Spot discrepancies between our % and bookmaker implied odds to find value bets.

Understanding Variance

Even a 70% confidence pick will lose roughly 3 times in every 10 — that is normal statistical variance. Judge results over 50+ predictions, not individual matches.

Never stake more than you can afford to lose on any single prediction.

Bankroll Management

Professional bettors risk only 1–5% of their total bankroll per bet. Even with high-confidence picks, proper staking protects you during inevitable losing streaks.

Divide your budget into 20–50 units. Never risk more than 1 unit per pick.
Important reminder

Our AI provides statistical probabilities based on historical data and current form. Football remains unpredictable — upsets happen, red cards change games, and luck plays a role. Use our predictions as informed guidance, not guarantees.